Totnes and District Energy Budget Calculations
Estimating Energy Supply & Demand in Totnes & District
Per capita consumption
Devon CC & (FHSE) 2008 population estimates 23,863 persons in the 16 parishes of Totnes & District.
| Per capita consumption | ||
|---|---|---|
| Energy Usage | Annual UK Average Usage Per capita* MWh | All persons Totnes & District MWh |
| Electricity | 5.75 | 137,212 |
| Personal Transport | 10.83 | 258,436 |
| Heating, Cooling, Cooking | 13.51 | 322,389 |
| All else (services, goods etc) | 0.47 | 11,216 |
| Annual Total (est.) | 30.56 | 729,253** |
Notes
* BERR 2008 estimates
** Totals vary slightly due to the different systems of estimating UK averages
Per household consumption
Devon CC & (FHSE) 2008 estimates 9,481 households in the 16 parishes of Totnes & District.
Annual Domestic Energy Consumption by end use for an average 3 bed semi-detached house1
All Energy Use
80.8 GJ x 277.8 = 22,446 kWh
(Space heating 50.0 GJ x 277.8 = 13,890 kWh)
Total Energy Demand in T&D
= 9,481 x 22,446
= 212,810,526 kWh / 212,811 MWh (212.8 GW)
UK energy consumption statistics are divided into 4 sectoral categories, Industry, Domestic, Transport and Services (Includes agriculture). Energy distribution is spread across these sectors in the following proportions (see table below) by DTI / BERR. From this we can calculate estimated sectoral and total consumption based on households in Totnes & District as follows.
| Estimated sectoral and total consumption based on households in Totnes & District | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sector | % total energy use | Annual demand all households T & D GWh | Annual demand all households T & D MWh | Annual demand per household MWh |
| Domestic | 30% | 212.8 | 212,848 | 22.45 |
| Transport | 36% | 255.4 | 255,418 | 26.94 |
| Services | 13% | 92.3 | 92,250 | 9.73 |
| Industry | 21% | 149.0 | 148,947 | 15.71 |
| Total | 100% | 709.5 | 709,463 | 74.83 |
Notes
These estimates have been further divided down to parish level. (see [do]appendix B3[/do] for a break down of estimates of energy per capita and household by parish).
* These totals vary slightly due to the different systems of estimating UK averages.
The household calculations provide the baseline that will be used to assess how the energy needs of T & D can be met between 2009 to 2030.
Energy Demand in Totnes & District
2008 T & D Baseline per capita annual usage of all energy is 30.56 MWh/y
2008 T & D Baseline per household annual usage of all energy is 74.83 MWh/y
2008 T & D Baseline Total usage in the District of all energy is 709,463 MWh/y
= 709.5 GWh = 2,554,100 GJ/y
Estimating potential for Renewable Energy Supplies in T & D
1. Solar
1a. Photovoltaics (PV)
Available resource – Assumptions:
- Monocrystalline PV panels will be used (1 kWp=6m2)
- 1 kWp will produce 750 kWh/y2
- The cells are orientated between South east through South to South West at an angle of 35 degrees (standard roof pitch) to the horizontal. This implies >96% of the maximum available solar energy will be collected. Ie for all practical purposes 100%
- No. of dwellings 9,481 of which half will have roof area orientated between South West and South East (= 4,741)
- Available roof area – assumes average rood area of 9m x 7m = 63m2. Assumes a normal straight ridge roof with half facing one way and half the other. 63 ÷ 2 = 31m2 less 4m2 for solar hot water 27m2 available for PV. 4,741 x 27 = 128,007m2
- Installed capacity @ 6m2/kW = 128,007 ÷ 6 = 21,335 kWp
- Annual Energy Capture @ 750 kWh/kWp/y = 16,001,250 kWh/y = 16,001 MWH/y
Potential Annual energy capture from PV for all T&D parishes
= 16,001 MWh/y
(Individual household potential gain
= 3.38 MWh/y)
Approximate installation costs (2006) 21,335 x £6,000 kWp
= £128,010,000
This is expensive and highlights the cost barrier of PV unless support is available from grants. If industry can get costs down to their target figure of 1€/w (~£660/kWp) in 5 years then these costs would come down to £14,081,100
1b. Solar Hot Water (SHW)
Available resource – Assumptions:
- A 3m2 evacuated tube collector will be used. Whilst more expensive they have fewer losses and work in overcast weather. Typically an evacuated tube is about 90% efficient.
- Solar Hot Water (SHW) will take priority on the roof space because: a) SHW is more efficient so will collect more energy per unit area and is a cheaper technology and b) plumbing runs are more difficult to install and to minimise losses the panel needs to be as close as possible to the hot water tank (PV can be installed around the SHW more easily.)
- Even an East-West facing roof can collect 84% of the available heat energy, so most dwellings will have access to a roof pitch or vertical surface that could accommodate a viable SHW heater. Although a SHW panel orientated between South East through South to South West at an angle of 35 degrees (standard roof pitch) to the horizontal, will, for all practical purposes, work close to its maximum efficiency.
- Number of dwellings in T & D= 9,481. Dwellings located in Conservation Areas may be subject to restrictions. But it is assumed that the majority of dwellings will be able to find space somewhere to install a panel. Calculations:
Average solar insolation = 940 kWh/y per square metre.
3m2 = 2,820 kWh/y X 90% = 2,500 kWh/y X (say) 9481 dwellings = 23,702,500 kWh/y
= 23,703 MWH/y
Annual Potential Energy Capture in T & D = 2,500 kWh/y x 9481 houses = 23,703 MWh/y
(Individual household potential gain = 2.50 MWh/y)
2. Hydropower
2a. Micro-hydro
Hydro power output is the product of ‘head’ (the vertical distance through which the water falls, measured in meters) and the ‘flow’ (the volume of water flowing through the turbine, measured in cubic meters of water per second):
Power (kW) = 5 x Head (m) x Flow (m3/s)
At a given point on a river there will be an area of catchment above it where rainwater runoff is collected. Some of the water will be taken up by plants, trees etc so will evaporate again. The flow available for hydropower will be the net flow less a residual flow that must be left in the main river to ensure the health of aquatic life. Fish protection screens will be needed both above and below the turbine.
Available resource – Assumptions:
- The ETSU report includes all the larger sites within Totnes & District
- There will be a number of smaller mill sites such as Rattery Mill, where power could be generated. Experience indicates that many old mill sites that have fallen into disrepair, many have lost their water supply and those that do operate rarely produce more than 10kW. It is unlikely that old mill sites will make a significant contribution to T & D total energy demand, however old mill sites may be able to produce power for on site use.
- The ETSU report extrapolated figure of 2,226 MWh/y is taken as the potential output for micro hydro
Estimated Annual Potential Energy Capture from the T & D ETSU sites = 2,226 MWh/y
2b. Domestic micro-hydro
Potential Annual Energy Capture per domestic micro-hydro scheme = 10 MWh/y (DARE).
Potential Annual Energy Capture from domestic micro hydro in T & D
= 10 MWh/y x 9481 X 0.001 (0.1%) houses = 94.8 MWh/y
2c. Tidal lagoons
The River Dart at Sharpham, below Totnes
An early assessment of the Sharpham site indicates that it may be possible to install a 64 kW turbine which could produce up to 64,000 kWh of energy annually.
Estimated Annual Potential Energy Capture in T & D = 64 MWh/y
2d. Marine Current Turbines
Assessed resource based on per capita share by population in Totnes:
23,863 (Population of T&D) x 9 kWh/d x 365 = 78,389,955 kWh/y = 78,390 MWh/y
2e. Wave Power
The national potential for this technology is estimated at 4kWh/d per per person by Prof. Mackay3 Assessed resource based on per capita share by population in Totnes:
23,863 (Population of T&D) x 4 kWh/d x 365 = 34,839,980 kWh/y = 34,840 MWh/y
3 Wind Power
Wind energy can only be farmed where average wind speeds are high enough and will be confined to those areas with an average wind speed of over 7m/s.
3a. Small scale wind
Air contains energy by virtue of its movement and the available power is proportional to the cube of the wind speed (double the wind speed = 8 times the power) and the swept area of the turbine blades. Modern near silent wind turbines have been developed to be mounted like a TV aerial on rooftops. There are also a wide range of intermediate sized ones for use on farmsteads and boats. 2006 costs were in the region of £1,000 / £2,000 for 1 kW / 1.5 kW machines respectively.
The topography around T & D is generally varied, with generally only the outlying T & D parishes having average wind speeds sufficient to make this kind of technology economically viable at domestic level. There exists however the consideration that almost every building could carry a small wind turbine. A very rough estimation is therefore made on the basis that 5% of all households (around 47) in T & D are viable for micro wind.
Estimating that each turbine will generate between 2000 – 3000 kWh/y (& taking the lower figure for increased confidence), 1000 x 2000 = 2,000,000 kWh/y = 2 MWh/y
Potential Annual Energy Capture from domestic micro wind
= 2 MWh/y x 9481 X 0.005 (5%) houses = 94.81 MWh/y
3b. Large Scale Turbines / Wind farms
The UK has a good wind regime and South Devon a number of areas where, Landscape Designations apart, a significant wind resource could be harnessed. From a purely wind resource perspective, any site that has an average wind speed in excess of 7.5m/s will offer an economically viable site. Up to 5 turbines could be installed per kilometre wind front.
A typical 1.3 MW wind turbine will have a hub height of 50m with 26m blades (52m diameter). For 26m turbine blades the swept area will be 2,2124m2
The total energy capture will be 1,350 x 2,2124 = 2,867,400 kWh/y (2,867 MWh)
If 2 clusters of three 1.3.MW wind turbines were installed in T & D, the combined output would be
2 x 3 x 2,867 = 17,202 MWh/y
3c. Off-shore wind resource
The UK shoreline is surrounded by very windy seas. Off-shore wind and marine current turbines could be installed on the same piles which would share many of the installation costs and the connection cable bringing the energy onshore. The Start Point location off S. Devon has wind energy density of 701-800 W/m2.
The resource captured will be constrained by the number of turbines installed and the seabed conditions for installation. A 2 MW wind turbine installed off shore could generate 8,000 MWh/y
The national potential for this technology is estimated as follows:4
Shallow Off shore Wind 16kWh/d per per person
Deep Water Off Shore wind 32kWh/d per per person
Assessed resource based on per capita share by population in Totnes:
23,863 (Population of T&D) x (16 + 32) kWh/d x 365 = 418,079,760 kWh/y = 418,080 MWh/y
4 Biomass capacity
The total landholding area for South Hams is 90,650 hectares (ha.), the area of T & D is approximately 21,500 hectares ie 24%. This therefore indicates the following:
Total no of landholdings (est.) = 372
Landholding area (est.) = 15,549 ha.
52 landholdings with set aside covering (est.) = 478 ha.
Total woodland cover (incl. small woodlands of less than 2 ha.) est.= 755 ha.
Of which: 181 ha. (est.) is ancient woodland
169 ha. (est) are coniferous
586 ha. (est.) are deciduous
4a. Woodlands
Deciduous woodland
This implies that the 586 ha. of deciduous woodland in T & D could sustainably supply (586 x 2.5)
= 1,465 tonnes of timber each year.
Coniferous woodland
A mature stand of Douglas Fir can yield up to 20 dt/ha/y. Much of this timber will be used for construction, so the available resource for energy will depend upon efficiency of milling and how wastage is reduced. It is assumed that 80% of the timber can be converted into useable timber leaving 20% for energy ie. 4 dt/ha/y is available for energy (169 x 4) = 679 dt/y
This implies that the 169 ha. of coniferous woodland in T & D could sustainably supply (169 x 4)
= 679 tonnes of timber each year.
There are 4 primary ways of using timber: as slab wood, logs, woodchip and pellets:
- A standing tree can be assessed as of timber value, transported to the mill for construction use. The sawdust from the milling process can be used to form pellets and slab wood can be chipped.
- Timber deemed unsuitable for milling can be used as logs or chipped (generally once the moisture level is between 25-35% (<25% timber is too hard, >35% timber starts to compost)
- The brush left in the forest can be of value as faggots or left in situ to rot and benefit biodiversity.
- The energy content of timber is directly related to its moisture content: the drier it is the higher the energy. It is assumed that drying will take place in the air and will not consume more energy. Timber with 60% moisture only has 6GJ/t, timber with 20% moisture has 15GJ/t. 1 tonne of dry timber will replace about 400 litres of oil with a net saving of 1072 kg CO25
- The use of this finite resource will need to be well managed to ensure best use. It could used in individual wood burning stoves or boilers (~ 70-90% efficient) or used by communities sharing a CHP scheme with a district heat main. With individual usage, the fuel can be used when needed, with a community scheme, although more efficient it will need to be operational to provide constant supply for all. Flexible schemes are advisable.
Assumptions:
- Some form of cooperative or machinery ring or company can be established that all woodland owners will contract with and agree to maintain all the woodland in T & D
- That the market and local applications for wood energy can be developed
- That all woodland can be exploited on a sustainable basis and provide:
1,465 d/tonnes of hardwood
679 d/tonnes of softwood
= 2,144 dt/y
2,144 dt/y x 15GJ/t = 32,160 (1 GJ = 277.8 kWh) = 8,934,048 kWh
=8,934MWh
(Individual household potential share (9,481 ÷ 8,934) = 0.94 MWh/y
or (0.94 ÷ 4.167) = 0.23 dry tonnes of timber/y)
4b. Short Rotation Coppice (SRC)
Assumptions:
The average yield from SRC is 8-9dt/ha/y
The DARE report estimated that the then set aside area (in T & D) of 478ha. Would be used for SRC.
478 x 8 dt/ha./y = 3,824dt/y
3,824 dt/y x 15GJ/t = 57,360 GJ x 277.8 kWh/GJ = 15,934,608 kWh = 15,935 MWh
4c. Miscanthus
Available Resource – assumptions:
- All 478 ha of set aside will be planted to Miscanthus
- Crop yield 15dt/ha/y
- Energy conversion rate = 15 GJ/dt gives 225 GJ/ha/y (1GJ = 227.8kWh) = 62,505 kWh/ha/y
- Energy input to establish the crop is a ‘one off’ and is discounted
- Energy to harvest crop is 630MJ/ha (1MJ=0.2778 kWh) = 175 kWh/ha
- Energy to transport crop is dependent on distance (say 330 kWh/ha/y)
- Net energy output; 62,505 less 175 less (say 330) = 62,000 kWh/ha/y
- 478 x 62,000 = 29,636,000 kWh/y = 29,636 MWh/y
5 Biofuels
5a. Oil seed rape
Available resource – assumptions
- All 478 ha of set aside is used for OSR
- Yields vary but average t/ha
- 478 x 2.9 = 1,386.2 t
- Energy value 37 – 39 GJ/t (say 38 GJ/t)
- Energy yield 1386 x 38 = 52,668 GJ (1 GJ = 277.8kWh) = 14,631,170 kWh = 14,631 MWh
- Energy inputs to grow and harvest the crop = 16,269 =/- 896 MJ/t (say 16.25 GJ/t)
- Therefore the net energy output = 38 – 16.25 = 21.75 GJ/t
- Net energy yield 1386 x 21.75 = 30,145.5 GJ (1 GJ = 277.8 kWh) = 8,374,420 kWh = 8,374 MWh
5b. Bio-ethanol
Available resource (wheat) – assumptions:
- All 478 ha of set aside are available for growing wheat as an energy crop
- Yields 7.74 t/ha
- 478 x 7.74 = 3,700 t
- 1 tonne of wheat gives 0.336m3 of bio-ethanol (336 litres)
- 3,700 x 0.336 = 1,243.2m3 = 1,243,200 litres (L)
- Bio-ethanol has an energy content by volume of 21.1 MJ/L
- 1,243,200 x 21.1 = 26,231,520 MJ (1 MJ = 0.2778 kWh) = 7,287,116.3 kWh = 7,287 MWh
Available resource (Sugar beet) – assumptions:
- All 478 ha of set aside are available for growing sugar beet as an energy crop
- Yields 57.5 t/ha
- 478 x 57.5 = 27,485 t
- 1 tonne of sugar beet gives 0.108m3 of bio-ethanol (108 litres)
- 27,485 x 0.108 = 2,968.38m3 = 2,968,380 litres (L)
- Bio-ethanol has an energy content by volume of 21.1 MJ/L
- 2,968,380 x 21.1 = 62,632,818 MJ (1 MJ = 0.2778 kWh) = 17,399,397 kWh = 17,399 MWh
6 Energy from Waste
The term ‘waste’ needs to be used with caution as nothing is wasted in nature. The by-products from one process are used as the raw material for the next. In this context waste is the collective name we call the organic material we no longer have a use for. It comprises the contents of our dustbins (after recyclables have been separated), kitchen waste, human faeces, animal slurries, animal by-products and food processing wastes.
All organic material degrades quite naturally if oxygen is present, by what is known as an aerobic process and is familiar to us as composting. If oxygen is excluded, by enclosing the process in a sealed chamber, the process is known as anaerobic. The advantage of using an enclosed chamber is that the by-products of organic breakdown (methane) can be captured easily. The methane can then be used as a fuel. If the source material is predominantly wet, a process of anaerobic digestion can be used. If the source material is predominantly dry a process of gasification can be used.
The waste streams considered here are:
- Municipal solid waste (incl. commercial waste arisings)
- Animal slurries
- Sewage sludge
6a. Anaerobic Digestion (AD)
Available Resource – Municipal Waste
Statistics show 70% of waste arisings go to landfill and 30% is recycled or composted
Assumptions:
- South Hams domestic waste (2006 figures) 4,802 t less 11,281 t recycled = 33,521 t
- Energy value = 9.5 GJ/t
- 33,521 t x 9.5 GJ/t = 318,450 GJ
- (9,481 T&D households divided by 34,831 households in DARE report catchment = 0.27%)
- 318,450 GJ x 0.27% = 85,981.5 GJ (1 GJ = 277.8 kWh) = 23,885,661 kWh = 23,886 MWh
Using the Ludlow Experience6 and translating their analysis to T&D
Assumptions:
- 9,481 households
- 4.2 kg/household/week
- feedstock = 9,481 x 4.2 x 52 = 2,070,650.4 kg/y = 2,071 tonnes
- Energy value 2,071 x 140 m3/t (bio-gas) = 289,940 m3 x 22 MJ/m3 = 6,378,680 MJ
- (1 MJ = 0.2778 kWh) 6,378,680 x 0.2778 = 1,771,997 kWh = 1,772 MWh
Animal slurries
Based on the DARE report’s assessment of 2004 farm statistics which suggested the following breakdown of farm holdings, these are scaled down for T&D based on the differences in area (The total landholding area for South Hams is 90,650 hectares (ha.), the area of T & D is approximately 21,500 hectares ie 24%). A more accurate assessment could be made based on actual farm data:
| Farm Holdings | ||
|---|---|---|
| Farmholding | South Devon | T&D @ 24% |
| Dairy Holding | 56 | 13 |
| Pig Holding | 5 | 1 |
| Poultry Holding | 16 | 4 |
To assess the capacity of T&D, a guide is taken from comparison with the Holsworthy Biogas Plant. The Holsworthy biogas plant is capable of producing up to 14,400 MWh/y. The DARE Report assumed that South Devon could carry a similar sized plant, although the figures it was gave (see above) were 56 dairy holdings and the Holsworthy plant was based on just 30 dairy holdings plus food waste. T&D has various farms and a number of small food producers.
The Holsworthy biogas plant is capable of producing up to 14,400 MWh/y. The DARE Report assumed that South Devon could carry a similar sized plant, although the figures it was gave (see above) were 56 dairy holdings and the Holsworthy plant was based on just 30 dairy holdings plus food waste. T&D has various farms and a number of small food producers.
Scaled down to T&D estimated data this could indicate that a similar plant could produce:
(13 ÷ 30) x 14,400 = 6,240 MWh/y
Sewage Sludge
Totnes Waste water and sewage treatment plant:
Incoming waste waters:
- Totnes Main sewer 95L/sec maximum
- Sludge from satellite treatment works (~ 20 mile radius)
- Collected contents of septic tanks and cess pits
= treats 125 m3 of sewage sludge per day / produces 70-90 kWh
= 417MWh/y electricity (used on site)7
based on the DARE calculation for CHP plants (see 7) where a 2:1 ratio of heat:power is delivered at CHP plants. This suggests the following potential total energy and portion of heat that could also be utilised at this plant:
total potential energy yield = 417 x 3 = 1,251MWh/y
Based on 2:1 ratio; heat yield = 834 MWh/y – currently used on site*
Based on the output reflecting 90% efficiency of the CHP plant, the 100% potential energy value
= 1,251 x 10/9 = 1,390 MWh/y
6b. Gasification & Pyrolysis
Available Resource – Municipal Waste
Assumptions:
Ref. AD 6a above, (DARE Data for South Devon) extrapolated data for T&D
(9,481 T&D households divided by 34,831 households in DARE report catchment = 0.27%)
The total amount of MSW collected (less recycled) is (33,521 tonnes) 9,051 tonnes Of this (7,607 tonnes) 2,054 tonnes is kitchen waste as used in AD process described previously. This leaves (25,914 tonnes) 6,997 tonnes for gasification.
Energy value = 9.5 GJ/t
6,997 x 9.5 = 66,471.5 GJ (1 GJ = 277.8 kWh) = 26,383,083 kWh = 18,466 MWh
Available Resource – Commercial Waste
Assumptions:
Ref. AD 6a above, (DARE Data for South Devon) extrapolated data for T&D based on 0.27%
(10,000 tonnes) 2,700 tonnes of mixed waste is collected from all commercial properties in T&D
The amount recycled is not known, but assume same proportion as domestic waste
Available (7,000 tonnes) 1,890 tonnes
Energy value = 9.5 GJ/t
1,890 x 9.5 = 17,995 GJ (1 GJ = 277.8 kWh) = 4,987,899 kWh = 4,988 MWh
There will be other feedstocks available such as construction industry waste, abattoir waste etc but data is not available.
6c. Combined Heat & Power (CHP)
| Available resource – based on more efficient use of other renewable energy sources | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | Para. | Fuel type | Use | MWh assessed 100% | CHP plant @ 90% efficiency | Using CHP 90% efficient MWh/y | |
| Heat (67%) | Power (33%) | ||||||
| Wood fuel | 4a | Woodchip | Biomass CHP boiler | 8,934 | 8,041 | 5,387 | 2,654 |
| Miscanthus | 4c | Straw | Biomass CHP boiler | 29,636 | 26,672 | 17,871 | 8,801 |
| AD (MSW) | 6a | Methane | Co-firing | 1,772 | 1,595 | 1,069 | 526 |
| AD (animal slurry) | 6a | Methane | CHP engine | 6,240 | 5.616 | 3,763 | 1,853 |
| AD (sewage sludge) | 6a | Methane | CHP engine | 1,390 | 1,251 | 834 | 417 |
| Gasification (MSW) | 6b | Methane | CHP engine | 18,466 | 16,619 | 11,135 | 5,484 |
| Gasification (Comm.) | 6b | Methane | CHP engine | 4,988 | 4,489 | 3,008 | 1,481 |
| Total | 71,426 | 64,283 | 43,067 | 21,216 | |||
Assuming the CHP plant is 90% efficient:
64,283 MWh will be delivered
Of this:
67% will be delivered as heat = 43,067 MWh
33% as electricity = 21,216 MWh
7 Heat Pumps
Heat pumps need a significant amount of supporting infrastructure and an external energy source. In practice, heat pump technology is best suited to modern new build with high-energy efficiency and hard to heat buildings or buildings which only have grid electricity heating. In this instance, a heat pump could provide up to four times more heat than by conventional electric heating.
Available resource – assumptions
- Half of all properties are suitable for heat pump installations = 9,481 divided by 2 = 4,740
- All properties are fully insulated so heat load is reduced to an average of 6kW per home
- Heat load = 4,740 x 6 = 28,440 kW
- Heating will be needed for 6 months per year (8760 divided by 2 = 4380 hours)
- Using a Coefficient of Performance (COP) of 4 the 28,440 kW could be supplied by 7,110 kW power
- Energy use = 7,110 kW x 4380h = 31,141,800 kWh = 31,142 MWh (31 GWh)
- Renewable energy gain (energy saving) = 28,440 – 7,110 = 21,330 kW x 4380h = 93,425,400 kWh = 93,425 MWh
(Individual household potential gain = 19.71 MWh/y)
The 2006 average cost of installing a heat pump system is between £4,000 – 12,000. This cost could be brought down by a group of installations with bulk purchase etc being carried out.
8 Summary
| Summary of Potential Renewable Energy Capture in T & D | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | Para. | Energy Capture MWh/y | Energy Capture MWh/y (not countable) | Energy Capture MWh/y not feasible | Co2 saved @ 0.43 kg/kWh |
| Photovoltaics (PV) | 1a | 16,001 | 6.89 | ||
| Solar Hot Water | 1b | 23,703 | 10.19 | ||
| Micro-hydro ETSU sites | 2a | 2,226 | 0.96 | ||
| Micro-hydro / non-assessed sites | 2a | Not calculated | |||
| Micro-hydro (domestic) | 2b | 94.8 | 0.04 | ||
| Tidal Lagoons | 2c | 64 | 0.03 | ||
| Marine Current | 2d | 78,390 | 33.71 | ||
| Wave Energy | 2e | 34,840 | 14.98 | ||
| Small Scale (Micro) Wind | 3a | 94.81 | 0.04 | ||
| Large Wind (2 large turbines) | 3b | 19,541 | 8.4 | ||
| Offshore Wind | 418,080 | 179.77 | |||
| Woodlands | 4a | 8,934 | 3.84 | ||
| Short Rotation Crop | 4b | 15,935 | 6.85 | ||
| Miscanthus | 4c | 29,636 | 12.74 | ||
| Oil Seed Rape | 5a | 8,374 | 3.6 | ||
| Bio-ethanol (wheat) | 5b | 7,287 | 3.13 | ||
| Bio-ethanol (sugar beet) | 5b | 17,399 | 7.48 | ||
| AD (MSW) Kitchen waste | 6a | 1,772 | 0.76 | ||
| AD Animal Slurry | 6a | 6,240 | 2.68 | ||
| AD Sewage Sludge | 6a | 1,390 | 0.6 | ||
| Gasification (MSW) | 6b | 18,466 | |||
| Gasification (Comm.) | 6b | 4,988 | |||
| Combined Heat & Power | 6c | 834* | 0.36 | ||
| Heat Pumps | 7 | 93,425 | 40.17 | ||
| Sub-Total (MWh) | 203,995.61 | 531,310 | 23,454 | ||
| Total (GWh) | 204 | 531.3 | 23.4 | ||
| (Total incl. non countable - GWH) | 736.3 | 316.25 | |||
Notes
* only the estimated unaccounted heat at Totnes sewage works is included here
2008 T & D Baseline estimated total potential renewable energy production in the DISTRICT = 204 GWh/y
2008 T & D estimated total renewable energy production INCLUDING per capita share of potential off-shore wind and wave renewable energy capture = 736.3 GWh/y
2008 T & D Baseline estimated DEMAND of all energy = 709.5 GWh/y
2008 T & D Baseline estimated demand under ZCB 50% = 354.75 GWh/y
The following assessments can be made for T & D using these estimations:
T & D ability to meet local energy requirement from locally produced renewable energy based on current (100%) usage:
204 ÷ 709.5 GWh/y= 28.75%
T & D ability to meet local energy requirement from locally produced renewable energy PLUS per capita share of potential off-shore wind and wave renewable energy capture, based on current (100%) usage:
736.3 ÷ 709.5 GWh/y= 103.8%
Zero Carbon Britain?
T & D ability to meet local energy requirement from locally produced renewable energy to meet ZCB based on 50% of current usage:
204 ÷ (709.5 x 50%) GWh/y = 57.5 %
T & D ability to meet local energy requirement from LOCALLY produced renewable energy PLUS per capita share of potential NATIONALLY produced off-shore wind and wave renewable energy capture, based on 50% of current usage:
736.3 ÷ (709.5 x 50%) GWh/y= 207.6%
COUNTDOWN – Generating local Renewable Energy to meet local Needs – Getting there
(calculations based on 2008 baseline demand in T & D 709.5 GWh/yr)
Supplying T & D with 90% of current usage through 10% reduction measures + (10% renewable sources + 80% conventional energy supplies)
Total energy required = 638.6 GWh/y
(10% reduction = 70.9 GWh/y)
(10%) Renewable supplies = 70.9 GWh/y
(80%) conventional supplies = 567.7 GWh/y
Supplying T & D with 80% of current usage through 20% reduction measures + (20% renewable sources + 60% conventional energy supplies)
Total energy required = 567.6 GWh/y
(20% of 2008 demand) reduction = 141.9 GWh/y)
(20%) Renewable supplies = 141.9 GWh/y
(60%) conventional supplies = 425.7 GWh/y
Supplying T & D with 70% of current usage through 30% reduction measures + (30% renewable sources + 40% conventional energy supplies)
Total energy required = 496.65 GWh/y
(30% of 2008 demand reduction = 212.85 GWh/y)
(30%) Renewable supplies = 212.85 GWh/y
(40%) conventional supplies = 283.8 GWh/y
Supplying T & D with 60% of current usage through 40% reduction measures + (40% renewable sources + 20% conventional energy supplies)
Total energy required = 425.7 GWh/y
(40% of 2008 demand reduction = 283.8 GWh/y)
(40%) Renewable supplies = 283.8 GWh/y
(20%) conventional supplies = 141.9 GWh/y
Supplying T & D with 50% of current usage through 50% reduction measures + (50% renewable sources + 0% conventional energy supplies)
Total energy required = 354.75 GWh/y
(50% of 2008 demand reduction = 354.75 GWh/y)
(50%) Renewable supplies = 354.75 GWh/y
(0%) conventional supplies = 0 GWh/y
The following calculations compare the potential for meeting local energy use at the district and household level. The figures can be further calculated to make assessments for farms, parishes etc.
District: Can we meet household use* from power generated on our own houses?
Calculated using T & D 2008 baseline Total Domestic Household use (electricity & space heating only) = 212.8 GWh/y = 212,800 MWh/y
How much of total household domestic usage could be met just using Solar Hot Water (HW) on all houses in T&D?
Potential capture (Solar Hot Water) 23,703 ÷ MWh/y (total domestic use) 212,848 MWh/y
= 11% (ZCB 22%)
How much of total household domestic usage could be met by fitting Solar PV & Solar HW on all suitable houses in T&D?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 16,001 + (Solar HW) 23,703 = 39,704 MWh/y ÷ (total domestic use) 212,848 MWh/y = 18.7% (ZCB 37.4%)
How much of total household domestic usage could be met by fitting Solar PV & Solar HW & Wood fuel burners at all suitable houses in T&D?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 16,001 + (Solar HW) 23,703 + (Wood fuel) 8,934 MWh/y ÷ (total domestic use) 212,848 MWh/y = 22.9% (ZCB 55.8%)
How much of total household domestic usage could be met by fitting Solar PV & Solar HW & installing Micro-wind on all suitable houses in T&D?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 16,001 + (Solar HW) 23,703 + (Micro wind) 94.8 MWh/y ÷ (total domestic use) 212,848 MWh/y = 18.7% (ZCB 37.4%)
How much of total household domestic usage could be met by fitting Solar PV & Solar HW & installing Heat Pumps at all suitable houses in T&D?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 16,001 + (Solar HW) 23,703 + (Heat Pumps) 93,425 MWh/y ÷ (total domestic use) 212,848 MWh/y = 62.6% (ZCB 125.2%)
How much of total household domestic usage could be met by fitting Solar PV & Solar HW & installing Wood fuel & Micro-wind & Heat Pumps at all suitable houses?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 16,001 + (Solar HW) 23,703 + (Micro wind) 94.81 + (Wood fuel) 8,934 + (Heat Pumps) 93,425 MWh/y ÷ (total domestic use) 212,848 MWh/y = 66.8% (ZCB 133.6%)
Households: Can we meet individual household use* from power generated on our own houses?
T & D 2008 Domestic Household* (electricity, space heating etc.) usage= 22.45 MWh/y
Can this be met just fitting Solar Hot Water panels on my house?
Potential capture (Solar Hot Water) 2.50 MWh/y = 11%
Can this be met just fitting Solar PV** & Solar Hot Water panels on my house?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 3.38 + (Solar Hot Water) 2.50 MWh/y = 5.88 MWh/y = 26%
Can this be met fitting Solar PV** & Solar HW panels & installing a Wood fuel burner *** at my house?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 3.38 + (Solar Hot Water) 2.50 + (Wood fuel) 0.94 MWh/y = 6.82 MWh = 30.4%
Can this be met fitting Solar PV** & Solar HW panels & installing a Micro-wind turbine** on my house?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 3.38 + (Solar Hot Water) 2.50 + (micro wind) 2 MWh/y = 7.88 MWh = 35%
Can this be met fitting Solar PV** & Solar HW & a Heat Pump** at my house?
Potential capture (Solar Pv) 3.38 + (Solar Hot Water) 2.50 + (Heat Pump) 19.71 MWh/y = 25.59 MWh = 114%
Notes
* per household use of electricity (appliances etc) + hot water + space heating ONLY
** not all houses in T & D are suitable for this technology
*** estimated share available in T & D
Energy Efficiency
It is clear that to generate enough energy to meet current energy demand will require a investment over many years. Reducing our energy demand by investing in energy efficiency is an essential prerequisite to introducing renewable energy and will have a double benefit:
- A once off investment in energy efficiency will continue to save money indefinitely
- This will reduce the capital investment needed for renewable energy infrastructure
Energy efficiency covers a very wide range of measures from fitting a condensing boiler to switching off a light. It is estimated that 10% of all energy could be saved by simply changing our behaviour and switching off unwanted appliances.
Space heating is by far the biggest use of domestic energy and this is where the best possibilities of energy efficiency occur.
To what extent can energy efficiency reduce our energy demand?
| Annual domestic consumption by end use for an average 3 bedroom semi-detached house | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| All energy use | 80.8GJ | x 277.8 | 22,446 kWh |
| Space heating | 50.0GJ | x 277.8 | 13,890 |
| 9,481 households | x 22,446 | 212,810,526 kWh | |
| total energy use | 212.8 GWh | ||
| For space heating 9,481 households | x 13,890 | 131,691,090 kWh | |
| space heating load | 131.7 GWh | ||
Example:
A 3 bedroom semi-detached house measuring 8m x 7m, UPVC double glazed and maintaining an indoor temperature at 21 degrees C whilst the outside temperature is 0 degrees C
An un-insulated property will need an 11.5kW boiler
An insulated property (cavity wall insulation +75mm loft insulation) will need a 6.1kW boiler.
A saving of 5.4kW or 53%8
Available energy savings assumes:
90% of all dwellings are capable of being fully insulated (9,481 x 90% = 8,533)
Space heating energy consumed by 8,533 dwellings x 13,890 kWh = 118,523,370 kWh
53% energy efficiency saving = 62,817,386
= 62.8 GWh energy reduction through maximising insulation
| To what extent can energy efficiency reduce our domestic energy demand? | |
|---|---|
| Total domestic energy demand in T & D | 212.8 GWh |
| Less behaviour changes (10% of total consumption) | 21.3 GWh |
| Less lighting saving (80% of 2% of total consumption) | 3.4 GWh |
| Less insulation measures saving (as above) | 62.8 GWh |
| Total Savings | 87.5 GWh |
| Remaining total energy demand | 125.3 GWh |
A total saving of 58%
Footnotes
- DARE report / Domestic Energy Fact File 2003 [↩]
- Source www.pv-uk.org British Photovoltaics association [↩]
- Sustainable Energy – without hot air, David Mackay 2008. P317 [↩]
- Sustainable Energy – without hot air, David Mackay 2008. P317 [↩]
- South West Wood Fuels. www.swwf.info [↩]
- See DARE report p39 for details [↩]
- SWW officer 11.05.09 [↩]
- Figures based on heat load for the property and are independent of the method of heating. Different types of fuel and the associated heating appliance will give rise to different heating costs and carbon emissions, but the load will depend on the size of the building and its construction [↩]
4 comments on “Totnes and District Energy Budget Calculations”
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The energy budgets on this [ http://totnesedap.org.uk/book/appendices/appendix-c/totnes-and-district-energy-budget-calculations/ ] and other pages are very extensive and useful, but where is the carbon budget for Totnes identifying the current CO2 emissions baseline in tonnes, and then the reducing CO2 budgets for each of the three budget periods established under the Climate Change Act 2008 through to 2020/22, which the EDAP would have to achieve and surpass?
Can’t seem to find this in the EDAP, but maybe I’m looking in the wrong place.
Also can’t actually see any reference to the emissions reduction task and targets in the ‘Assumptions about energy’ on http://totnesedap.org.uk/book/appendices/appendix-a/ Again, is this somewhere else?
Thanks
Hi Anthony, to keep the EDAP tight we used just energy usage for the budget and estimated baselines from per capita average. Information around energy use by postcode from actual energy bills which would have been really useful to use and revisit is data protected. we do not have the resources to carry out door to door data gathering and householders may not have been willing to provide this. The carbon budget and emissions can be calculated from the non renewable energy consumption figures on the basis of CO2 of 0.43kg/kWh which we took from Sustainable Energy without the Hot Air. The assumptions in the appendix are those which came from the workshops which guided the development and inputs to the EDAP.
93 – SHW energy capture cannot be equated directly to other forms of DHW sourcing as the energy is received in the middle of the day. Typically most DHW is used in the evening or the following morning. Most alternative systems, if programmed correctly, heat the water immediately prior to the time of use so much less heat is lost in storage. A good rule of thumb for SHW is that only 50% of the energy captured ends up at the tap.
368 – CHP, other than the very large ones, suffer from the inability to change the heat to power ratio. Unless one has a steady heat load round the year, typically only found with industrial heat hosts such as paper mills, one either has to run heat led, which means part load or not at all at times, or electricity led, where heat not required is dumped. Either way has inefficiencies. In the absence of interseasonal heat stores, it is highly optimistic to assume efficiencies of 90%. 70% might be better (if you are lucky..). Further, blanket support for SHW will simply serve to rob summer heat load and make the heat load factor even worse.
378 – COPs of 4 highly optimistic for retrofit installations. These are only achievable with underfloor heating ie. 30C – 35C. Typical wet central heating systems work at 60C. Consultancy, Poyry, last year published retrofit COP data – they concluded 2.96 for retofit. One has to remember to add in the energy (normally electric) for topping up the DHW as it does not normally make sense to use heat pumps to do this presently.
Totnes EDAP
Appendix C
Totnes and District Energy Budget Calculations
Estimating potential for Renewable Energy Supplies in T & D
Para 3 Wind Power
3a. Small scale wind
“… 5% of all households (around 47) in T & D …”
Should read 474
“Estimating that each turbine will generate between 2000 – 3000 kWh/y (& taking the lower figure for increased confidence), 1000 x 2000 = 2,000,000 kWh/y = 2 MWh/y”
I think you mean: 2000kWh/y = 2MWh/y
Blue box
“= 2 MWh/y x 9481 X 0.005 (5%) houses = 94.81 MWh/y”
5% is 0.05 So the correct answer is 948.1: (as it appears in the main text, thankfully)
Para 3b Large Scale Turbines / Wind farms
“For 26m turbine blades the swept area will be 2,2124m2
The total energy capture will be 1,350 x 2,2124 = 2,867,400 kWh/y (2,867 MWh)”
The 2,2124 should be 2,124 in each case. This is presumably just a transcription error as
1,350 x 2,124 = 2,867,400.
But where does the 1,350 come from?
Presumably it combines assumed values for “average of wind speed cubed” and efficiency.
However the result of 2,867 MWH/y for a 1.3MW turbine is reasonable: implying a load factor of 0.25.
General
I have only looked at at the wind sections so far and I must admit that these numbers don’t give me much confidence. Oh dear. What confidence do you have in the numbers in the main text?